Aaj Ka Mausam: देश के कई हिस्सों में अगले एक सप्ताह तक मौसम सक्रिय रहने का अनुमान है. भारत मौसम विज्ञान विभाग (IMD) के अनुसार, अलग-अलग स्तरों पर बनी कई मौसम प्रणालियों के प्रभाव से उत्तर-पश्चिम, मध्य, पूर्व, पूर्वोत्तर, पश्चिमी और दक्षिणी प्रायद्वीपीय भारत के कई हिस्सों में बारिश, गरज-चमक और तेज हवाएं चल सकती हैं. दिल्ली-एनसीआर समेत हरियाणा, पंजाब और उत्तर प्रदेश के कई हिस्सों में 6 से 11 अक्टूबर 2026 के बीच हल्की से मध्यम बारिश के साथ आंधी और बिजली गिरने की संभावना जताई गई है. बिहार, झारखंड, पश्चिम बंगाल और ओडिशा में भी बारिश होने का पूर्वानुमान है. मौसम विभाग ने 15 से 16 राज्यों में आंधी-तूफान के साथ बारिश होने की संभावना जताई है. इस दौरान 50 से 60 किलोमीटर प्रति घंटे की रफ्तार से हवा चलने का भी पूर्वानुमान है. बंगाल की खाड़ी में नया सिस्टम बनने की प्रबल संभावना के बीच मौसम के तेवर के तल्ख होने का अनुमान है.
IMD के मुताबिक, गंगा से लगते पश्चिम बंगाल के क्षेत्र से मध्य महाराष्ट्र तक बना ट्रफ अब सक्रिय है. इसके अलावा उत्तर-पश्चिमी उत्तर प्रदेश से पूर्वी बांग्लादेश तक एक अन्य ट्रफ बना हुआ है. पूर्वोत्तर बिहार से उत्तर-पूर्वी बंगाल की खाड़ी तक मौजूद ट्रफ अब उत्तर-मध्य बिहार से उत्तर ओडिशा तक पहुंच गया है. वहीं, एक नया पश्चिमी विक्षोभ भी ट्रफ के रूप में सक्रिय है. इसके अलावा कोमोरिन क्षेत्र से तमिलनाडु और दक्षिण आंतरिक कर्नाटक होते हुए उत्तर आंतरिक कर्नाटक में बने चक्रवाती परिसंचरण (Cyclonic Circulation) तक एक ट्रफ मौजूद है. इन प्रणालियों के कारण देश के अलग-अलग हिस्सों में बारिश और आंधी-तूफान की गतिविधियां बढ़ने की संभावना है.
इन राज्यों में आंधी-तूफान की आशंका
6 अक्टूबर को हिमाचल प्रदेश, जम्मू-कश्मीर, लद्दाख और उत्तराखंड में गरज-चमक के साथ 40-50 किलोमीटर प्रति घंटे की रफ्तार से तेज हवाएं चल सकती हैं, जिनके झोंकों की गति 60 किलोमीटर प्रति घंटे तक पहुंच सकती है. जम्मू-कश्मीर क्षेत्र में 7-8 अक्टूबर और हिमाचल प्रदेश में 7-10 अक्टूबर के दौरान 30-40 किलोमीटर प्रति घंटे की तेज हवाएं चलने का अनुमान है. उत्तराखंड में 7-9 अक्टूबर को भी तेज हवाएं चल सकती हैं. हरियाणा, चंडीगढ़ और दिल्ली तथा पंजाब में 6-7 अक्टूबर को गरज, बिजली और 40-50 किलोमीटर प्रति घंटे की रफ्तार वाली तेज हवाएं चल सकती हैं. इनके झोंकों की गति 60 किलोमीटर प्रति घंटे तक पहुंच सकती है. 8-9 अक्टूबर को इन क्षेत्रों में 30-40 किलोमीटर प्रति घंटे की रफ्तार वाली हवाएं चलने की संभावना है. पश्चिमी और पूर्वी उत्तर प्रदेश में भी 6-9 अक्टूबर तथा 6-8 अक्टूबर के दौरान गरज और बिजली गिरने की चेतावनी दी गई है.
दिल्ली-NCR में 6 अक्टूबर से बदलेगा मौसम, बारिश की संभावना
देश की राजधानी दिल्ली में मौसम करवट बदल सकता है. पश्चिम विक्षोभ के कारण बने नए वेदर सिस्टम की वजह से दिल्ली और आसपास के इलाकों में बारिश होने की संभावना है. हवा की रफ्तार सामान्य से ज्यादा रह सकती है. बारिश होने से यातायात संबंधी परेशानियों का सामना करना पड़ सकता है. दिल्ली-एनसीआर में 6 से 11 अक्टूबर तक बारिश का माहौल रह सकता है.
Weather Systems, Forecast and Warnings :
❖ The trough from Gangetic West Bengal to Marathwada now runs from Gangetic West Bengal to Madhya Maharashtra in lower tropospheric level.
❖ A trough runs from northwest Uttar Pradesh to east Bangladesh in lower tropospheric level.
❖ The trough from northeast Bihar to Northeast Bay of Bengal now runs from northcentral Bihar to north Odisha in lower tropospheric level.
❖ A fresh Western Disturbance seen as a trough in middle & upper tropospheric westerlies with its axis in
middle tropospheric level runs roughly along Long. 64°E to the north of Lat. 32°N.
❖ A trough runs from Comorian Area to cyclonic circulation over North Interior Karnataka across Tamilnadu and South Interior Karnataka in lower tropospheric level.Under the influence of above systems, the following weather is likely:
Northwest India:
❖ Fairly Widespread to Widespread rainfall likely over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad on 6th October and on 9th October.
❖ Isolated to Scattered rainfall likely over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad during 7th-8th October and during 10th-11th October; Himachal Pradesh during 6th-11th October; Uttarakhand during 5th-11th October.
❖ Isolated to Scattered rainfall likely over Haryana Chandigarh & Delhi and Punjab during 6th-11th October; West Uttar Pradesh during 6th-10th October; East Uttar Pradesh during 5th-10th October; West Rajasthan on 11th October.
❖ Isolated thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) likely over Himachal Pradesh, Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad and Uttarakhand on 6th October, with gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph) likely over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad during 7th-8th October; Himachal Pradesh during 7th-10th October; Uttarakhand on 5th
October and during 7th-9th October.
❖ Isolated thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) likely over Haryana Chandigarh & Delhi and Punjab during 6th-7th October; East Uttar Pradesh on 5th October, with gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph) likely over Haryana Chandigarh & Delhi and Punjab during 8th-9th October.❖ Isolated thunderstorm & lightning likely over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad during 9th-10th October; West Uttar Pradesh during 6th-9th October; East Uttar Pradesh during 6th-8th October.
Central India:
❖ Isolated to Scattered rainfall likely over West Madhya Pradesh during 10th-11th October; Chhattisgarh and East Madhya Pradesh during 6th-10th October; Vidarbha during 6th-7th October.
❖ Isolated thunderstorm & lightning likely over Chhattisgarh and East Madhya Pradesh during 6th-9th October; Vidarbha during 6th-7th October.
East India:❖ Isolated to Scattered rainfall likely over Andaman & Nicobar Islands and Jharkhand during 5th-10th October; Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim on 6th October and during 10th-11th October; Gangetic West Bengal during 5th-6th October and during 8th-10th October; Bihar during 5th-9th October; Odisha during 5th-11th October.
❖ Fairly Widespread to Widespread rainfall likely over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim on 5th October and during 7th-9th October; Gangetic West Bengal on 7th October.
❖ Isolated thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph) likely over Bihar, Jharkhand and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim during 5th-9th October; Gangetic West Bengal and Odisha during 5th-8th October.
❖ Isolated thunderstorm & lightning likely over Andaman & Nicobar Islands during 5th-6th October.
❖ Isolated heavy rainfall likely over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim on 5th October.
❖ Moderate to severe lightning activity over Gangetic West Bengal during 05th -08th October.
Northeast India:
❖ Isolated to Scattered rainfall likely over Arunachal Pradesh during 5th-10th October; Assam & Meghalaya and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura during 5th-11th October.
❖ Isolated thunderstorm & lightning likely over Assam & Meghalaya on 5th October; Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura during 5th-6th October.
❖ Isolated heavy rainfall likely over Arunachal Pradesh and Assam & Meghalaya on 5th October.
West India:
❖ Isolated to Scattered rainfall likely over Konkan & Goa and Madhya Maharashtra during 5th-7th October.
❖ Isolated thunderstorm & lightning likely over Konkan & Goa and Madhya Maharashtra during 5th-6th October.
South Peninsular India:
❖ Isolated to Scattered rainfall likely over Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema and Tamil Nadu,Puducherry & Karaikal during 5th-11th October; Coastal Karnataka during 7th-11th October; North Interior Karnataka during 5th-6th October and during 9th-10th October; South Interior Karnataka during 6th-11th October;Telangana on 7th October.
❖ Fairly Widespread to Widespread rainfall likely over Kerala & Mahe and Lakshadweep during 5th-11th October; Coastal Karnataka during 5th-6th October; South Interior Karnataka on 5th October.
❖ Isolated thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal during 5th-9th October; Kerala & Mahe and Lakshadweep during 5th-6th October; Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Rayalaseema on 5th October, with gusty winds (speed reaching 30- 40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph) likely over Kerala & Mahe and Lakshadweep during 7th-9th October; Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Rayalaseema during 6th-8th October.
❖ Isolated thunderstorm & lightning likely over Coastal Karnataka on 5th October; South Interior Karnataka during 5th-6th October.
❖ Isolated heavy rainfall likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal during 5th-6th October; Kerala & Mahe during 5th-6th October and during 9th-10th October; South Interior Karnataka on 6th October with isolated very heavy rainfall also likely over Coastal Karnataka and South Interior Karnataka on 5th October.
❖ Strong Surface Winds likely over Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Rayalaseema during 5th-8th October.
Heat Wave, Hot & Humid weather and Warm Night conditions warning:
❖ Hot and humid weather conditions likely to prevail over Konkan & Goa on 5th October.
